I got up early and got my ya-yas out on model complexity in Tsalmantza and my paper on HMF. I have been thinking about finishing a note on model complexity for my/our Data Analysis Recipes series, and since (a) the issue is ringing around in my otherwise empty head, and (b) the issue comes up in the HMF paper, the HMF paper just got an overly-long polemic on why you shouldn't use AIC, BIC, or (naive) Bayesian evidence integrals. I am sure (I hope, perhaps?) that we will end up removing it before we submit!
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