black-hole binaries and inference

In a very low-research day, I had a short conversation with Mike Kesden (NYU) about how to distinguish models of black-hole–black-hole binary formation using an Advanced LIGO or eLISA data set. I gave the usual gospel of hierarchical probabilistic modeling with your causal knowledge baked in. The non-research part of the day was spent handicapping the Kentucky Derby.

[Note added later: The Kentucky Derby thing worked out well.]

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