Today a large group at NYU started the process of preparing our proposal to the Moore and Sloan Foundations. We got off to a challenging start, because we can all see that once you get a whole bunch of people in the room, resources get tight. But of course it is a sign of great health that there is so much we can do and I am excited about paring down what we might do down to what we will do.
Late in the day I worked more on my arguments about computing the marginalized likelihood (or Bayes integral). It is a complicated argument; I don't have an extremely simple version of it (yet). Yesterday, Gelman advised me to read Chapter 6 of his book Bayesian Data Analysis.
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