Bovy, Lang, and I worked on the weekend and today on an even simpler problem than the orbital roulette problem: The equivalent for a one-dimensional harmonic oscillator. If we get this squared away, we can update the Oort methods for determining the mass distribution (vertically) in the Milky Way disk to a justified Bayesian framework (and improve the precision and build in the capability of accepting finite errors to boot). It turns out to be a little bit non-trivial, though we got something working by the end of the day.
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