2017-06-26

statistics is hard

OMG much of my research time today was spent trying to figure out everything that is wrong with Section 7 (uncertainties in both x and y) of the Hogg, Bovy, and Lang paper on fitting a line. Warning to users: Don't use Section 7 until we update! The problems appeared early (see the GitHub issues on this Chapter), but came to a head when Dan Foreman-Mackey (UW) wrote this blog post. Oddly I disagree with Foreman-Mackey's solution, and I don't have consensus with Jo Bovy (Toronto) yet. It has something to do with how we take the limit to very large variance in our prior. But I must update the paper asap!

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